Bitcoin’s Major Capitulation Spike: On-Chain Analysis Revealed

Key Points:
  • Bitcoin  BTC -7.58% ’s capitulation spike marks major market sell-off.
  • On-chain metrics reveal escalation in forced sales.
  • Realized losses reach $889M per day.

Bitcoin’s capitulation metric has surged to its second-highest level in two years, signaling intensified forced selling, according to Glassnode’s on-chain data analysis.

The substantial Bitcoin sell-off underscores potential volatility, impacting investor confidence as prices fall below key support levels, echoing previous market downturns.

Bitcoin’s Market Movements

The recent Bitcoin capitulation metric indicated its second-largest spike in two years, signaling substantial market volatility. This sharp escalation suggests significant market movements among major investors.

Despite lacking direct quotes from industry leaders, on-chain data by Glassnode highlights the forced selling across different wallet types, including whales and small retail investors fully exiting the market.

Market Impact

The immediate market impact is evident with Bitcoin prices dropping over 11%, falling below multiple cost bases impacting short-term holders. This suggests increased potential losses for recent investors.

Financial effects reveal on-chain data showing a massive $889 million in realized losses per day, influencing investor confidence. The situation mirrors past downturns, limiting recovery prospects.

The scarcity of digital gold is being diluted by ‘synthetic supply’ through ETFs and futures. — Bob Kendall, Author, The Kendall Report

Forecast and Repercussions

Bitcoin’s situation resembles the October 2025 deleveraging event, hinting at prolonged volatility without fast recovery. Experts forecast potential bottoms near $50,000.

Financial, regulatory, and technological repercussions might depend on market stability and investor sentiment. Current indicators show this downturn could persist until recovery signals are apparent.

Otto Bergmanr

Otte Bergmar is a crypto journalist covering Scandinavian and European blockchain markets, with a focus on decentralisation, privacy, and the AI–crypto interface. He reports on Web3 startups, market structure, and EU policy; from licensing regimes to consumer protection and cross-border compliance. At TokenTopNews, Otte transforms policy drafts, regulatory disclosures, and on-chain data into actionable, decision-ready insights, helping readers understand how regulation influences blockchain adoption across Europe.