U.S. Fed Lowers October Inflation Expectation to 3.24%
- The New York Fed reports October inflation expectation at 3.24%.
- The decline suggests a potential shift in Fed policy.
- No major market movements tied to this announcement.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released its October 2025 1-Year Inflation Expectation, reporting a decrease to 3.24% from the previous 3.38%, influencing economic and market perspectives.
Lower inflation expectations may lead to moderated Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, potentially affecting the sentiment in crypto markets for assets like BTC and ETH.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York has announced a decrease in the 1-Year Inflation Expectation to 3.24% for October. This marks a drop from the previous 3.38%, reflecting a change in consumer sentiment.
The Center for Microeconomic Data at the New York Fed is responsible for compiling this data through its monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations. No official comments have been made by major crypto or macro market leaders as of November 7.
The adjustment in inflation expectation could signal a potential easing in Federal Reserve policies. Lower inflation forecasts typically lead to the moderation of expectations for Fed rate hikes, impacting institutional investor sentiment.
Historically, reduced short-term inflation predictions have led to increased risk asset performance, including BTC and ETH. As of now, there have been no specific on-chain data changes correlating with the Fed’s announcement.
The data highlights ongoing market stability, with no abnormal TVL or liquidity changes in the DeFi sector directly linked to this inflation forecast. Analysts will monitor potential impacts as these adjustments often precede economic policy shifts.
Experts indicate that drops in inflation expectations in the past have coincided with moderate price rebounds in key cryptocurrencies. While there is no current direct evidence of price shifts, the market may adjust to these changes.
“Median inflation expectations decreased by 0.2 percentage point (ppt) to 3.2 percent at the one-year-ahead horizon and were unchanged at the three-year- and five-year-ahead horizons.” – Federal Reserve Bank of New York
